Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 12:02 AM to 12:31 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 12:02 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 34.1007. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:31 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.876.47830.83Sep 28, 12:02 AM ET12:31 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:02 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.876.47830.83Sep 28, 12:02 AM ET12:31 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:02 AM ET34.1007
Projected value at 12:31 AM ET6.71446
Actual value at 12:31 AM ET4.97426
Projected change across the window-27.3863
Actual change across the window-29.1265
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.94×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.94 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (12:29 AM ET), where they sat 0.111954 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:02 AM ET) with a gap of 45.7097. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (12:18 AM ET), a move of -5.31176. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:03 AM-9.3936629.1654+38.5591
612:08 AM-14.339710.9324+25.2721
1212:14 AM-16.124220.4287+36.5529
1812:20 AM-18.5562-3.96103+14.5951
2412:26 AM-13.6852-2.44706+11.2382
2912:31 AM6.714464.97426-1.7402

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.