Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 12:01 AM to 12:30 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 12:01 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 23.861. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:30 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-13.93.79221.48Sep 28, 12:01 AM ET12:30 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:01 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-13.93.79221.48Sep 28, 12:01 AM ET12:30 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:01 AM ET23.861
Projected value at 12:30 AM ET16.1555
Actual value at 12:30 AM ET9.23529
Projected change across the window-7.70557
Actual change across the window-14.6257
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.53×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.53 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (12:18 AM ET), where they sat 0.0327296 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:01 AM ET) with a gap of 38.9364. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (12:15 AM ET), a move of -5.31176. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:02 AM-16.220.036+36.236
612:07 AM-10.920713.3169+24.2376
1212:13 AM3.3391513.189+9.84982
1812:19 AM-7.03258-4.54338+2.4892
2412:25 AM10.5371-1.62059-12.1577
2912:30 AM16.15559.23529-6.92016

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.