Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 11:16 PM to 11:45 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 11:16 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 11.7316. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:45 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-33.19-12.148.905Sep 27, 11:16 PM ET11:45 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:16 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-33.19-12.148.905Sep 27, 11:16 PM ET11:45 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:16 PM ET11.7316
Projected value at 11:45 PM ET-1.5854
Actual value at 11:45 PM ET-12.2206
Projected change across the window-13.317
Actual change across the window-23.9522
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.56 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (11:22 PM ET), where they sat 1.3524 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (11:32 PM ET) with a gap of 22.7833. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (11:22 PM ET), a move of -2.54265. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:17 PM-3.585711.5713+15.157
611:22 PM5.474464.12206-1.3524
1211:28 PM-23.2176-5.25956+17.958
1811:34 PM-34.7829-14.6765+20.1064
2411:40 PM-13.5546-17.8544-4.29977
2911:45 PM-1.5854-12.2206-10.6352

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.