Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 10:55 PM to 11:24 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 10:55 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -19.0596. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:24 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-28.26-14.87-1.469Sep 27, 10:55 PM ET11:24 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:55 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-28.26-14.87-1.469Sep 27, 10:55 PM ET11:24 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:55 PM ET-19.0596
Projected value at 11:24 PM ET-4.77989
Actual value at 11:24 PM ET-30.0618
Projected change across the window+14.2797
Actual change across the window-11.0022
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.30×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.30 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (11:05 PM ET), where they sat 0.311633 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (11:24 PM ET) with a gap of 25.2819. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (11:24 PM ET), a move of -7.43676. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:56 PM-11.1071-18.6154-7.5083
611:01 PM-8.98836-13.8493-4.86091
1211:07 PM-13.3727-12.1456+1.22715
1811:13 PM-22.7428-20.1287+2.61409
2411:19 PM-4.22742-11.8368-7.60934
2911:24 PM-4.77989-30.0618-25.2819

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.