Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 10:51 PM to 11:20 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 10:51 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -17.8537. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:20 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-41.79-15.5510.69Sep 27, 10:51 PM ET11:20 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:51 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-41.79-15.5510.69Sep 27, 10:51 PM ET11:20 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:51 PM ET-17.8537
Projected value at 11:20 PM ET2.28838
Actual value at 11:20 PM ET-45.3147
Projected change across the window+20.1421
Actual change across the window-27.461
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.73×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.73 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (10:53 PM ET), where they sat 0.697389 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (11:20 PM ET) with a gap of 47.6031. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (11:17 PM ET), a move of -7.43676. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:52 PM-18.2893-16.5735+1.71579
610:57 PM1.45766-10.3691-11.8268
1211:03 PM2.53252-16.5478-19.0803
1811:09 PM11.257-18.8147-30.0717
2411:15 PM6.30241-16.6191-22.9215
2911:20 PM2.28838-45.3147-47.6031

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.