Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 10:07 PM to 10:36 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -54.1809. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:36 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-53.35-14.9923.36Sep 27, 10:07 PM ET10:36 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:07 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-53.35-14.9923.36Sep 27, 10:07 PM ET10:36 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:07 PM ET-54.1809
Projected value at 10:36 PM ET26.9672
Actual value at 10:36 PM ET17.0176
Projected change across the window+81.1481
Actual change across the window+71.1985
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.14×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.14 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (10:26 PM ET), where they sat 0.348683 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (10:15 PM ET) with a gap of 31.5252. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (10:12 PM ET), a move of +15.3801. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:08 PM-36.1547-57.8118-21.657
610:13 PM-36.4979-13.314+23.184
1210:19 PM-1.876569.46397+11.3405
1810:25 PM10.374512.7132+2.33874
2410:31 PM17.842412.6588-5.18357
2910:36 PM26.967217.0176-9.94956

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.