Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 9:44 PM to 10:13 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 9:44 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 12.5265. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:13 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-27.2-6.45914.28Sep 27, 9:44 PM ET10:13 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:44 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-27.2-6.45914.28Sep 27, 9:44 PM ET10:13 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:44 PM ET12.5265
Projected value at 10:13 PM ET-28.0698
Actual value at 10:13 PM ET-8.42132
Projected change across the window-40.5963
Actual change across the window-20.9478
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.94×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.94 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (10:02 PM ET), where they sat 1.57331 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (10:13 PM ET) with a gap of 19.6485. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (9:58 PM ET), a move of -3.09044. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:45 PM0.16279512.4279+12.2651
69:50 PM5.0206316.5471+11.5264
129:56 PM5.6911210.4882+4.79712
1810:02 PM-2.60096-4.17426-1.57331
2410:08 PM-29.9808-10.6213+19.3595
2910:13 PM-28.0698-8.42132+19.6485

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.