Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 1:16 AM to 1:45 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 1:16 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 52.8. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:45 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.69821.7149.12Sep 25, 1:16 AM ET1:45 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:16 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.69821.7149.12Sep 25, 1:16 AM ET1:45 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:16 AM ET52.8
Projected value at 1:45 AM ET-0.38847
Actual value at 1:45 AM ET-3.17132
Projected change across the window-53.1885
Actual change across the window-55.9713
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (1:23 AM ET), where they sat 0.257828 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:16 AM ET) with a gap of 35.0283. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (1:20 AM ET), a move of -7.75147. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:17 AM16.584248.7706+32.1864
61:22 AM14.719120.9919+6.27276
121:28 AM10.47934.60441-5.87489
181:34 AM4.50811-4.33824-8.84635
241:40 AM0.364485-8.58309-8.94757
291:45 AM-0.38847-3.17132-2.78285

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.