Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 1:15 AM to 1:44 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 1:15 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 48.7706. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:44 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.93619.745.33Sep 25, 1:15 AM ET1:44 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:15 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.93619.745.33Sep 25, 1:15 AM ET1:44 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:15 AM ET48.7706
Projected value at 1:44 AM ET-0.788252
Actual value at 1:44 AM ET-2.55515
Projected change across the window-49.5588
Actual change across the window-51.3257
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.97×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.97 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (1:23 AM ET), where they sat 0.148175 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:15 AM ET) with a gap of 31.236. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (1:18 AM ET), a move of -7.75147. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:16 AM15.139245.7919+30.6527
61:21 AM8.7316613.8301+5.09849
121:27 AM5.763091.39485-4.36824
181:33 AM1.52136-5.06324-6.5846
241:39 AM-0.874839-7.35294-6.4781
291:44 AM-0.788252-2.55515-1.7669

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.