Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 1:08 AM to 1:37 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 1:08 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 10.2816. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:37 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.9980.035299.068Sep 25, 1:08 AM ET1:37 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:08 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.9980.035299.068Sep 25, 1:08 AM ET1:37 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:08 AM ET10.2816
Projected value at 1:37 AM ET-0.723241
Actual value at 1:37 AM ET-8.5375
Projected change across the window-11.0049
Actual change across the window-18.8191
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.58×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.58 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (1:08 AM ET), where they sat 0.986394 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (1:23 AM ET) with a gap of 15.1119. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (1:13 AM ET), a move of -3.20956. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:09 AM9.859178.40735-1.45181
61:14 AM7.607930.0794118-7.52852
121:20 AM6.43855-6.27132-12.7099
181:26 AM4.44323-5.41176-9.855
241:32 AM2.12009-3.70588-5.82597
291:37 AM-0.723241-8.5375-7.81426

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.