Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 11:58 PM to 12:27 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 11:58 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -22.3412. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:27 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-21.21-8.8543.502Sep 24, 11:58 PM ET12:27 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:58 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-21.21-8.8543.502Sep 24, 11:58 PM ET12:27 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:58 PM ET-22.3412
Projected value at 12:27 AM ET-0.248254
Actual value at 12:27 AM ET3.55956
Projected change across the window+22.0929
Actual change across the window+25.9007
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.85×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.85 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (12:13 AM ET), where they sat 0.253777 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (12:01 AM ET) with a gap of 21.0187. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (12:10 AM ET), a move of +3.52132. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:59 PM-3.75288-22.0596-18.3067
612:04 AM-1.23314-20.6096-19.3764
1212:10 AM-0.107742-7.66397-7.55623
1812:16 AM2.474393.64706+1.17266
2412:22 AM1.033484.71176+3.67828
2912:27 AM-0.2482543.55956+3.80781

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.