Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 11:56 PM to 12:25 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 11:56 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -22.0596. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:25 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-21.21-8.8543.502Sep 24, 11:56 PM ET12:25 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:56 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-21.21-8.8543.502Sep 24, 11:56 PM ET12:25 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:56 PM ET-22.0596
Projected value at 12:25 AM ET-0.979954
Actual value at 12:25 AM ET2.39485
Projected change across the window+21.0796
Actual change across the window+24.4544
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.86×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.86 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (12:08 AM ET), where they sat 0.925549 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (12:00 AM ET) with a gap of 16.6592. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (12:07 AM ET), a move of +3.52132. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:57 PM-6.55433-22.0544-15.5001
612:02 AM-4.25449-19.0868-14.8323
1212:08 AM-3.26269-4.18824-0.925549
1812:14 AM-1.308073.66618+4.97425
2412:20 AM0.4305964.42721+3.99661
2912:25 AM-0.9799542.39485+3.37481

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.