Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 11:55 PM to 12:24 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 11:55 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -22.8691. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:24 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-21.21-8.8543.502Sep 24, 11:55 PM ET12:24 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:55 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-21.21-8.8543.502Sep 24, 11:55 PM ET12:24 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:55 PM ET-22.8691
Projected value at 12:24 AM ET-1.32678
Actual value at 12:24 AM ET-3.25368
Projected change across the window+21.5423
Actual change across the window+19.6154
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.10×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.10 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (12:05 AM ET), where they sat 1.00517 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:55 PM ET) with a gap of 15.4619. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (12:04 AM ET), a move of +3.52132. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:56 PM-6.92224-22.1765-15.2542
612:01 AM-6.33036-15.8493-9.5189
1212:07 AM-4.804281.24632+6.0506
1812:13 AM-2.691894.56618+7.25806
2412:19 AM-0.2145165.16176+5.37628
2912:24 AM-1.32678-3.25368-1.9269

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.