Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 11:53 PM to 12:22 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 11:53 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -22.1765. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:22 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-20.56-8.5073.543Sep 24, 11:53 PM ET12:22 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:53 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-20.56-8.5073.543Sep 24, 11:53 PM ET12:22 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:53 PM ET-22.1765
Projected value at 12:22 AM ET0.119048
Actual value at 12:22 AM ET-5.31029
Projected change across the window+22.2955
Actual change across the window+16.8662
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.32×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.32 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (12:03 AM ET), where they sat 0.486881 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (11:55 PM ET) with a gap of 15.8238. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (12:01 AM ET), a move of +3.52132. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:54 PM-6.26884-21.4015-15.1326
611:59 PM-1.9684-14.2978-12.3294
1212:05 AM-1.694752.54779+4.24255
1812:11 AM-0.9026134.39559+5.2982
2412:17 AM1.939464.26838+2.32892
2912:22 AM0.119048-5.31029-5.42934

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.