Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 11:51 PM to 12:20 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 11:51 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -19.0868. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:20 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.65-6.9623.726Sep 24, 11:51 PM ET12:20 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:51 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.65-6.9623.726Sep 24, 11:51 PM ET12:20 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:51 PM ET-19.0868
Projected value at 12:20 AM ET-0.62564
Actual value at 12:20 AM ET-9.20956
Projected change across the window+18.4611
Actual change across the window+9.87721
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 5 (11:55 PM ET), where they sat 0.659148 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (12:02 AM ET) with a gap of 10.8966. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (11:56 PM ET), a move of +3.52132. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:52 PM-12.2028-17.2375-5.03471
611:57 PM-9.34098-4.18824+5.15274
1212:03 AM-6.979033.66618+10.6452
1812:09 AM-5.242854.42721+9.67006
2412:15 AM-1.64466-0.330882+1.31377
2912:20 AM-0.62564-9.20956-8.58392

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.