Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 11:29 PM to 11:58 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 11:29 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 3.55956. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:58 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.33-2.4465.438Sep 24, 11:29 PM ET11:58 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:29 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.33-2.4465.438Sep 24, 11:29 PM ET11:58 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:29 PM ET3.55956
Projected value at 11:58 PM ET-0.485311
Actual value at 11:58 PM ET6.49632
Projected change across the window-4.04487
Actual change across the window+2.93676
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.38×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.38 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (11:49 PM ET), where they sat 0.276813 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (11:43 PM ET) with a gap of 8.25439. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (11:49 PM ET), a move of +2.94632. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:30 PM-0.9891032.39485+3.38396
611:35 PM-2.81733-8.88529-6.06796
1211:41 PM-4.11093-10.3456-6.23466
1811:47 PM-2.35789-6.29779-3.93991
2411:53 PM-1.279654.70956+5.98921
2911:58 PM-0.4853116.49632+6.98163

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.