Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 10:10 PM to 10:39 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 8.65147. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:39 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.658416.2131.75Sep 24, 10:10 PM ET10:39 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:10 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.658416.2131.75Sep 24, 10:10 PM ET10:39 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:10 PM ET8.65147
Projected value at 10:39 PM ET-1.42961
Actual value at 10:39 PM ET-0.483824
Projected change across the window-10.0811
Actual change across the window-9.13529
Bars moving the same direction21 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.10×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.10 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 75% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (10:39 PM ET), where they sat 0.945791 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (10:30 PM ET) with a gap of 23.914. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (10:14 PM ET), a move of +7.34265. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:11 PM13.616810.3875-3.22929
610:16 PM11.709533.4728+21.7633
1210:22 PM10.262332.3353+22.073
1810:28 PM6.8306330.0125+23.1819
2410:34 PM2.9385518.75+15.8115
2910:39 PM-1.42961-0.483824+0.945791

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.