Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 10:05 PM to 10:34 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 10:05 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 33.1809. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:34 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.9910.0231.02Sep 24, 10:05 PM ET10:34 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:05 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.9910.0231.02Sep 24, 10:05 PM ET10:34 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:05 PM ET33.1809
Projected value at 10:34 PM ET0.587006
Actual value at 10:34 PM ET-13.8074
Projected change across the window-32.5939
Actual change across the window-46.9882
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.69×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.69 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (10:28 PM ET), where they sat 0.0839933 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (10:11 PM ET) with a gap of 29.3694. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (10:24 PM ET), a move of -4.54338. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:06 PM5.4774533.4728+27.9953
610:11 PM3.4225132.7919+29.3694
1210:17 PM3.1887130.0353+26.8466
1810:23 PM3.7243223.2934+19.5691
2410:29 PM2.23314-0.483824-2.71696
2910:34 PM0.587006-13.8074-14.3944

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.