Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 4:18 PM to 4:47 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 4:18 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 90.5324. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:47 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-44.2618.8982.05Sep 24, 4:18 PM ET4:47 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:18 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-44.2618.8982.05Sep 24, 4:18 PM ET4:47 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:18 PM ET90.5324
Projected value at 4:47 PM ET-1.87172
Actual value at 4:47 PM ET4.87426
Projected change across the window-92.4041
Actual change across the window-85.6581
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.08×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.08 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (4:46 PM ET), where they sat 4.42867 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:18 PM ET) with a gap of 138.902. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (4:19 PM ET), a move of -35.461. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:19 PM-50.860655.0713+105.932
64:24 PM-45.2797-16.2529+29.0268
124:30 PM-27.7349-3.87426+23.8606
184:36 PM-15.782718.6206+34.4032
244:42 PM-6.9008221.1235+28.0243
294:47 PM-1.871724.87426+6.74598

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.