Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 4:15 PM to 4:44 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 24, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 22.6735. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:44 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-37.3-7.23622.83Sep 24, 4:15 PM ET4:44 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:15 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-37.3-7.23622.83Sep 24, 4:15 PM ET4:44 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:15 PM ET22.6735
Projected value at 4:44 PM ET-2.73579
Actual value at 4:44 PM ET8.99779
Projected change across the window-25.4093
Actual change across the window-13.6757
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.86×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.86 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (4:41 PM ET), where they sat 7.06573 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:15 PM ET) with a gap of 59.8525. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (4:16 PM ET), a move of -25.961. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:16 PM-38.5851-3.2875+35.2976
64:21 PM-37.5696-11.5963+25.9733
124:27 PM-25.6283-1.80588+23.8224
184:33 PM-12.021424.5897+36.6111
244:39 PM-7.156536.55809+13.7146
294:44 PM-2.735798.99779+11.7336

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.