Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 3:09 PM to 3:38 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 3:09 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -36.8713. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:38 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-45.79-20.225.34Sep 24, 3:09 PM ET3:38 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:09 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-45.79-20.225.34Sep 24, 3:09 PM ET3:38 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:09 PM ET-36.8713
Projected value at 3:38 PM ET-0.368843
Actual value at 3:38 PM ET8.77279
Projected change across the window+36.5025
Actual change across the window+45.6441
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.80×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.80 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (3:35 PM ET), where they sat 0.321785 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (3:19 PM ET) with a gap of 36.8041. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (3:24 PM ET), a move of +7.89853. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:10 PM-10.6045-32.6559-22.0514
63:15 PM-11.4562-37.7059-26.2497
123:21 PM-11.5145-42.2882-30.7737
183:27 PM-8.83585-9.8375-1.00165
243:33 PM-1.37884-10.0279-8.6491
293:38 PM-0.3688438.77279+9.14164

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.