Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 2:40 PM to 3:09 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 8.77279. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:09 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-2.2914.4331.15Sep 24, 2:40 PM ET3:09 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:40 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-2.2914.4331.15Sep 24, 2:40 PM ET3:09 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:40 PM ET8.77279
Projected value at 3:09 PM ET1.897
Actual value at 3:09 PM ET14.0809
Projected change across the window-6.87579
Actual change across the window+5.30809
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.30×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.30 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (3:07 PM ET), where they sat 0.299519 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (2:42 PM ET) with a gap of 14.7827. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (3:09 PM ET), a move of +6.42206. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:41 PM27.316613.4441-13.8725
62:46 PM25.09816.7426-8.35534
122:52 PM16.460125.6235+9.16343
182:58 PM9.0100412.6162+3.60613
243:04 PM5.90924-4.53529-10.4445
293:09 PM1.89714.0809+12.1839

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.