Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 1:02 PM to 1:31 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 1:02 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 26.6669. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:31 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-32.31-0.493131.32Sep 24, 1:02 PM ET1:31 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:02 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-32.31-0.493131.32Sep 24, 1:02 PM ET1:31 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:02 PM ET26.6669
Projected value at 1:31 PM ET-3.44572
Actual value at 1:31 PM ET-6.19412
Projected change across the window-30.1126
Actual change across the window-32.861
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.92×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.92 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 5 (1:06 PM ET), where they sat 1.75405 apart, and furthest at bar 23 (1:25 PM ET) with a gap of 37.1164. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (1:22 PM ET), a move of -8.325. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:03 PM30.276923.6471-6.62981
61:08 PM14.996412.2279-2.76847
121:14 PM6.541371.33309-5.20829
181:20 PM4.00281-7.28088-11.2837
241:26 PM-0.559784-34.6169-34.0571
291:31 PM-3.44572-6.19412-2.7484

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.