Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 12:28 PM to 12:57 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 12:28 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 9.56029. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:57 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.54538.1977.93Sep 24, 12:28 PM ET12:57 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:28 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.54538.1977.93Sep 24, 12:28 PM ET12:57 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:28 PM ET9.56029
Projected value at 12:57 PM ET-1.5715
Actual value at 12:57 PM ET-6.34044
Projected change across the window-11.1318
Actual change across the window-15.9007
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.70×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.70 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (12:53 PM ET), where they sat 0.0173596 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:28 PM ET) with a gap of 73.7103. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (12:30 PM ET), a move of +7.61838. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:29 PM80.257815.2574-65.0004
612:34 PM73.214938.5912-34.6237
1212:40 PM44.621525.0412-19.5804
1812:46 PM14.25618.84412-5.41195
2412:52 PM0.349615-4.69926-5.04888
2912:57 PM-1.5715-6.34044-4.76894

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.