Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 12:24 PM to 12:53 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 12:24 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 29.8154. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:53 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-11.5645.02101.6Sep 24, 12:24 PM ET12:53 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:24 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-11.5645.02101.6Sep 24, 12:24 PM ET12:53 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:24 PM ET29.8154
Projected value at 12:53 PM ET-1.11086
Actual value at 12:53 PM ET-19.1574
Projected change across the window-30.9263
Actual change across the window-48.9728
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.63×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.63 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (12:49 PM ET), where they sat 1.37049 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:24 PM ET) with a gap of 79.3899. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (12:51 PM ET), a move of -5.75735. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:25 PM104.12335.5279-68.5946
612:30 PM84.689735.0978-49.5919
1212:36 PM59.13816.2272-42.9108
1812:42 PM32.4667-1.52794-33.9946
2412:48 PM1.95939-1.61176-3.57115
2912:53 PM-1.11086-19.1574-18.0465

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.