Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 11:40 AM to 12:09 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 24, 2026 at 11:40 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read -23.7404. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:09 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-21.82-7.5346.753Sep 24, 11:40 AM ET12:09 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:40 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-21.82-7.5346.753Sep 24, 11:40 AM ET12:09 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:40 AM ET-23.7404
Projected value at 12:09 PM ET-1.34445
Actual value at 12:09 PM ET-8.97794
Projected change across the window+22.396
Actual change across the window+14.7625
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.52×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.52 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (11:52 AM ET), where they sat 0.156712 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:40 AM ET) with a gap of 31.0015. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (12:04 PM ET), a move of -6.35662. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:41 AM5.29045-22.2368-27.5272
611:46 AM2.174611.10515-1.06946
1211:52 AM0.4741710.630882+0.156712
1811:58 AM0.914470.283824-0.630647
2412:04 PM-0.244662-2.32059-2.07593
2912:09 PM-1.34445-8.97794-7.6335

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.