Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 10:24 AM to 10:53 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 10:24 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 7.64853. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:53 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.93610.122.13Sep 24, 10:24 AM ET10:53 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:24 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.93610.122.13Sep 24, 10:24 AM ET10:53 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:24 AM ET7.64853
Projected value at 10:53 AM ET0.630672
Actual value at 10:53 AM ET-3.55221
Projected change across the window-7.01786
Actual change across the window-11.2007
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.63×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.63 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (10:52 AM ET), where they sat 0.245657 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (10:45 AM ET) with a gap of 16.77. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (10:50 AM ET), a move of -5.34926. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:25 AM19.110210.6309-8.47928
610:30 AM17.009220.2868+3.2776
1210:36 AM11.292514.2544+2.96193
1810:42 AM8.9856416.8022+7.81656
2410:48 AM4.8738614.1228+9.24894
2910:53 AM0.630672-3.55221-4.18288

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.