Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 9:36 AM to 10:05 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 9:36 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -8.08309. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:05 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.15216.6738.49Sep 24, 9:36 AM ET10:05 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:36 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.15216.6738.49Sep 24, 9:36 AM ET10:05 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:36 AM ET-8.08309
Projected value at 10:05 AM ET5.54352
Actual value at 10:05 AM ET4.41397
Projected change across the window+13.6266
Actual change across the window+12.4971
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.09×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.09 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (10:04 AM ET), where they sat 0.694851 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (9:39 AM ET) with a gap of 46.8087. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (9:43 AM ET), a move of +4.84779. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:37 AM31.0429-6.26691-37.3098
69:42 AM37.40570.0595588-37.3461
129:48 AM28.314911.9074-16.4076
189:54 AM19.56070.519853-19.0408
2410:00 AM10.04770.150735-9.89693
2910:05 AM5.543524.41397-1.12955

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.