Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 1:13 AM to 1:42 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 1:13 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 18.4294. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:42 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-16.751.13319.02Sep 24, 1:13 AM ET1:42 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:13 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-16.751.13319.02Sep 24, 1:13 AM ET1:42 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:13 AM ET18.4294
Projected value at 1:42 AM ET-0.63103
Actual value at 1:42 AM ET-8.22206
Projected change across the window-19.0604
Actual change across the window-26.6515
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.72×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.72 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (1:26 AM ET), where they sat 1.47143 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (1:37 AM ET) with a gap of 17.4043. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (1:28 AM ET), a move of -4.36176. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:14 AM6.6845719.6007+12.9162
61:19 AM3.9575715.5397+11.5821
121:25 AM0.8114452.69632+1.88488
181:31 AM-1.95485-17.6529-15.6981
241:37 AM-1.74941-19.1537-17.4043
291:42 AM-0.63103-8.22206-7.59103

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.