Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 1:12 AM to 1:41 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 1:12 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 19.6007. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:41 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-16.751.13319.02Sep 24, 1:12 AM ET1:41 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:12 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-16.751.13319.02Sep 24, 1:12 AM ET1:41 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:12 AM ET19.6007
Projected value at 1:41 AM ET-1.04486
Actual value at 1:41 AM ET-5.45147
Projected change across the window-20.6456
Actual change across the window-25.0522
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (1:24 AM ET), where they sat 1.35755 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (1:33 AM ET) with a gap of 16.2174. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (1:26 AM ET), a move of -4.36176. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:13 AM8.2521421.3632+13.1111
61:18 AM3.3814613.3037+9.92221
121:24 AM0.181083-1.17647-1.35755
181:30 AM-2.42995-17.4625-15.0326
241:36 AM-2.45633-17.9493-15.4929
291:41 AM-1.04486-5.45147-4.40661

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.