Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 1:09 AM to 1:38 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 1:09 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 19.7412. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:38 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-16.850.293717.44Sep 24, 1:09 AM ET1:38 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:09 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-16.850.293717.44Sep 24, 1:09 AM ET1:38 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:09 AM ET19.7412
Projected value at 1:38 AM ET-0.323386
Actual value at 1:38 AM ET-0.668382
Projected change across the window-20.0646
Actual change across the window-20.4096
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.98×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.98 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (1:38 AM ET), where they sat 0.344996 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (1:23 AM ET) with a gap of 25.1329. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (1:20 AM ET), a move of -4.36176. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:10 AM16.69417.8199+1.12586
61:15 AM13.76737.80515-5.96216
121:21 AM9.58068-13.2162-22.7969
181:27 AM4.39201-18.814-23.206
241:33 AM0.0355541-10.6-10.6356
291:38 AM-0.323386-0.668382-0.344996

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.