Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 12:13 AM to 12:42 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 12:13 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -20.0515. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:42 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-22.47-11.84-1.211Sep 24, 12:13 AM ET12:42 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:13 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-22.47-11.84-1.211Sep 24, 12:13 AM ET12:42 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:13 AM ET-20.0515
Projected value at 12:42 AM ET0.12744
Actual value at 12:42 AM ET-5.63676
Projected change across the window+20.1789
Actual change across the window+14.4147
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.40×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.40 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (12:31 AM ET), where they sat 1.6086 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (12:17 AM ET) with a gap of 10.1642. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (12:15 AM ET), a move of +2.64706. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:14 AM-23.1241-18.2463+4.87776
612:19 AM-19.6274-10.3618+9.26564
1212:25 AM-13.4724-8.38235+5.09004
1812:31 AM-6.24316-4.63456+1.6086
2412:37 AM-0.621508-9.53015-8.90864
2912:42 AM0.12744-5.63676-5.76421

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.