Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 12:11 AM to 12:40 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 12:11 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -18.2463. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:40 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-25.06-12.79-0.5217Sep 24, 12:11 AM ET12:40 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:11 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-25.06-12.79-0.5217Sep 24, 12:11 AM ET12:40 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:11 AM ET-18.2463
Projected value at 12:40 AM ET0.834398
Actual value at 12:40 AM ET-5.01397
Projected change across the window+19.0807
Actual change across the window+13.2324
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.44×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.44 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (12:29 AM ET), where they sat 0.15311 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (12:14 AM ET) with a gap of 11.0455. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (12:12 AM ET), a move of +2.64706. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:12 AM-25.6555-15.5993+10.0563
612:17 AM-19.1574-10.489+8.6684
1212:23 AM-13.836-6.97426+6.86169
1812:29 AM-7.10277-7.25588-0.15311
2412:35 AM-0.114494-9.05588-8.94139
2912:40 AM0.834398-5.01397-5.84837

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.