Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 11:32 PM to 12:01 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 23, 2026 at 11:32 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read -13.4985. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:01 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.64-7.2111.219Sep 23, 11:32 PM ET12:01 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:32 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.64-7.2111.219Sep 23, 11:32 PM ET12:01 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:32 PM ET-13.4985
Projected value at 12:01 AM ET-0.106556
Actual value at 12:01 AM ET2.35074
Projected change across the window+13.392
Actual change across the window+15.8493
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.84×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.84 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (11:53 PM ET), where they sat 0.118954 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (11:40 PM ET) with a gap of 12.4015. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (11:45 PM ET), a move of +2.23309. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:33 PM-11.8683-13.8735-2.00521
611:38 PM-5.78657-16.7721-10.9855
1211:44 PM-3.78374-10.3816-6.59788
1811:50 PM-2.28539-4.91029-2.62491
2411:56 PM-0.7819640.373529+1.15549
2912:01 AM-0.1065562.35074+2.45729

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.