Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 11:31 PM to 12:00 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 11:31 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -13.8735. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:00 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.64-7.2111.219Sep 23, 11:31 PM ET12:00 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:31 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.64-7.2111.219Sep 23, 11:31 PM ET12:00 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:31 PM ET-13.8735
Projected value at 12:00 AM ET-0.652511
Actual value at 12:00 AM ET2.04265
Projected change across the window+13.221
Actual change across the window+15.9162
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.83×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.83 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (11:31 PM ET), where they sat 0.016244 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (11:38 PM ET) with a gap of 7.06345. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (11:43 PM ET), a move of +2.23309. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:32 PM-13.6167-14.7699-1.15317
611:37 PM-10.6249-16.7647-6.13976
1211:43 PM-6.7373-8.14853-1.41123
1811:49 PM-4.35486-4.05368+0.30118
2411:55 PM-1.795251.22353+3.01878
2912:00 AM-0.6525112.04265+2.69516

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.