Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 11:29 PM to 11:58 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 11:29 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -15.6397. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:58 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.64-7.2111.219Sep 23, 11:29 PM ET11:58 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:29 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.64-7.2111.219Sep 23, 11:29 PM ET11:58 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:29 PM ET-15.6397
Projected value at 11:58 PM ET0.121436
Actual value at 11:58 PM ET1.45882
Projected change across the window+15.7611
Actual change across the window+17.0985
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.92×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.92 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (11:45 PM ET), where they sat 0.116625 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (11:33 PM ET) with a gap of 8.10063. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (11:38 PM ET), a move of +2.23309. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:30 PM-13.016-16.3743-3.35828
611:35 PM-6.84587-14.4434-7.59751
1211:41 PM-2.91675-6.09044-3.1737
1811:47 PM-2.48603-0.6+1.88603
2411:53 PM-1.106212.11471+3.22092
2911:58 PM0.1214361.45882+1.33739

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.