Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 11:26 PM to 11:55 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 11:26 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -16.7721. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:55 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.64-7.2111.219Sep 23, 11:26 PM ET11:55 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:26 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.64-7.2111.219Sep 23, 11:26 PM ET11:55 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:26 PM ET-16.7721
Projected value at 11:55 PM ET-0.592875
Actual value at 11:55 PM ET1.71618
Projected change across the window+16.1792
Actual change across the window+18.4882
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.88×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.88 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (11:31 PM ET), where they sat 0.390994 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (11:47 PM ET) with a gap of 5.81127. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (11:33 PM ET), a move of +2.23309. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:27 PM-13.2205-16.7647-3.54416
611:32 PM-11.5467-10.3816+1.16508
1211:38 PM-6.60489-4.91029+1.69459
1811:44 PM-4.290360.373529+4.66389
2411:50 PM-2.544832.04265+4.58747
2911:55 PM-0.5928751.71618+2.30905

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.