Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 10:54 PM to 11:23 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 10:54 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 4.79779. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:23 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.657-1.7395.179Sep 23, 10:54 PM ET11:23 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:54 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.657-1.7395.179Sep 23, 10:54 PM ET11:23 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:54 PM ET4.79779
Projected value at 11:23 PM ET-0.0619756
Actual value at 11:23 PM ET-1.27647
Projected change across the window-4.85977
Actual change across the window-6.07426
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.80×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.80 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (11:06 PM ET), where they sat 0.0974693 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (11:18 PM ET) with a gap of 7.61508. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (11:07 PM ET), a move of -2.59265. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:55 PM0.3572055.40441+5.04721
611:00 PM-1.151693.08897+4.24066
1211:06 PM-2.32091-2.41838-0.0974693
1811:12 PM-1.9592-7.23015-5.27095
2411:18 PM-0.860655-8.47574-7.61508
2911:23 PM-0.0619756-1.27647-1.2145

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.