Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 10:53 PM to 11:22 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 10:53 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 6.10809. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:22 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.657-1.7395.179Sep 23, 10:53 PM ET11:22 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:53 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.657-1.7395.179Sep 23, 10:53 PM ET11:22 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:53 PM ET6.10809
Projected value at 11:22 PM ET-0.512496
Actual value at 11:22 PM ET0.182353
Projected change across the window-6.62058
Actual change across the window-5.92574
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.12×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.12 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (11:21 PM ET), where they sat 0.0536008 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (11:07 PM ET) with a gap of 8.41405. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (11:04 PM ET), a move of -2.59265. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:54 PM1.878176.06985+4.19168
610:59 PM0.4839332.81618+2.33224
1211:05 PM-1.39107-7.10294-5.71188
1811:11 PM-1.68296-5.90074-4.21778
2411:17 PM-0.954991-5.20809-4.2531
2911:22 PM-0.5124960.182353+0.694849

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.