Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 10:52 PM to 11:21 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 10:52 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 6.06985. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:21 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.659-1.7585.143Sep 23, 10:52 PM ET11:21 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:52 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.659-1.7585.143Sep 23, 10:52 PM ET11:21 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:52 PM ET6.06985
Projected value at 11:21 PM ET-0.407267
Actual value at 11:21 PM ET1.42574
Projected change across the window-6.47712
Actual change across the window-4.64412
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.39×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.39 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (11:18 PM ET), where they sat 0.168712 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (11:05 PM ET) with a gap of 7.33287. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (11:02 PM ET), a move of -2.59265. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:53 PM1.863485.36544+3.50196
610:58 PM-0.7443312.08088+2.82521
1211:04 PM-1.99665-8.96838-6.97173
1811:10 PM-2.1895-6.26397-4.07447
2411:16 PM-1.46779-3.50515-2.03735
2911:21 PM-0.4072671.42574+1.833

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.