Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 10:10 PM to 10:39 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 20.9537. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:39 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.331.42420.18Sep 23, 10:10 PM ET10:39 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:10 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.331.42420.18Sep 23, 10:10 PM ET10:39 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:10 PM ET20.9537
Projected value at 10:39 PM ET-0.225334
Actual value at 10:39 PM ET8.09485
Projected change across the window-21.179
Actual change across the window-12.8588
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.65×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.65 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (10:39 PM ET), where they sat 8.32019 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:10 PM ET) with a gap of 40.4288. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (10:18 PM ET), a move of -4.39926. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:11 PM-19.850318.986+38.8363
610:16 PM-15.141322.6985+37.8398
1210:22 PM-11.23284.46985+15.7026
1810:28 PM-8.668264.15294+12.8212
2410:34 PM-3.801968.74118+12.5431
2910:39 PM-0.2253348.09485+8.32019

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.