Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 7:00 PM to 7:29 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 37.7971. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:29 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.966322.544.03Sep 23, 7:00 PM ET7:29 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:00 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.966322.544.03Sep 23, 7:00 PM ET7:29 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:00 PM ET37.7971
Projected value at 7:29 PM ET0.205806
Actual value at 7:29 PM ET-1.29338
Projected change across the window-37.5913
Actual change across the window-39.0904
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.96×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.96 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (7:27 PM ET), where they sat 0.123143 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (7:13 PM ET) with a gap of 47.3469. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (7:17 PM ET), a move of -8.21912. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:01 PM1.7383837.2449+35.5065
67:06 PM0.92430136.5272+35.6029
127:12 PM-0.36149844.4956+44.8571
187:18 PM-0.70142315.1199+15.8213
247:24 PM-0.3713279.42647+9.7978
297:29 PM0.205806-1.29338-1.49919

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.