Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 3:01 PM to 3:30 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 3:01 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 74.0279. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:30 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-35.7621.3878.52Sep 23, 3:01 PM ET3:30 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:01 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-35.7621.3878.52Sep 23, 3:01 PM ET3:30 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:01 PM ET74.0279
Projected value at 3:30 PM ET1.22528
Actual value at 3:30 PM ET-43.4324
Projected change across the window-72.8027
Actual change across the window-117.46
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.62×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.62 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (3:20 PM ET), where they sat 0.135883 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (3:06 PM ET) with a gap of 76.0846. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (3:28 PM ET), a move of -13.9757. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:02 PM11.419878.0463+66.6265
63:07 PM9.6731278.4971+68.8239
123:13 PM5.8707732.1926+26.3219
183:19 PM3.37827.87647+4.49827
243:25 PM2.591726.11176+3.52005
293:30 PM1.22528-43.4324-44.6576

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.