Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 1:32 PM to 2:01 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 1:32 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 0.172059. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:01 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-3.7210.1724.05Sep 23, 1:32 PM ET2:01 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:32 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-3.7210.1724.05Sep 23, 1:32 PM ET2:01 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:32 PM ET0.172059
Projected value at 2:01 PM ET1.45694
Actual value at 2:01 PM ET0.956618
Projected change across the window+1.28488
Actual change across the window+0.784559
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.64×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.64 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (2:01 PM ET), where they sat 0.500326 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (1:35 PM ET) with a gap of 20.9421. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (1:34 PM ET), a move of +10.225. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:33 PM0.5380929.42059+8.8825
61:38 PM4.2382418.4537+14.2154
121:44 PM0.87170411.2456+10.3739
181:50 PM-2.333933.9875+6.32143
241:56 PM1.30135-4.86618-6.16752
292:01 PM1.456940.956618-0.500326

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.