Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 1:31 PM to 2:00 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 1:31 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 19.6456. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:00 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.1639.423.96Sep 23, 1:31 PM ET2:00 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:31 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.1639.423.96Sep 23, 1:31 PM ET2:00 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:31 PM ET19.6456
Projected value at 2:00 PM ET0.819515
Actual value at 2:00 PM ET5.16912
Projected change across the window-18.8261
Actual change across the window-14.4765
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.30×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.30 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (1:51 PM ET), where they sat 0.0485833 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (1:32 PM ET) with a gap of 28.4774. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (1:32 PM ET), a move of +6.27279. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:32 PM-2.5590125.9184+28.4774
61:37 PM-2.524312.7412+15.2655
121:43 PM-4.792149.99632+14.7885
181:49 PM-6.94588-1.16544+5.78044
241:55 PM-2.20118-3.15294-0.951764
292:00 PM0.8195155.16912+4.3496

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.