Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 1:29 PM to 1:58 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 1:29 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 25.9184. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:58 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-4.339.84324.02Sep 23, 1:29 PM ET1:58 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:29 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-4.339.84324.02Sep 23, 1:29 PM ET1:58 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:29 PM ET25.9184
Projected value at 1:58 PM ET-0.193198
Actual value at 1:58 PM ET6.33897
Projected change across the window-26.1116
Actual change across the window-19.5794
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.33×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.33 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (1:48 PM ET), where they sat 0.312875 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:29 PM ET) with a gap of 24.9411. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (1:31 PM ET), a move of -3.64265. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:30 PM0.45945925.1801+24.7207
61:35 PM-0.21130211.8478+12.0591
121:41 PM-2.64359.6625+12.306
181:47 PM-5.57592-3.96397+1.61195
241:53 PM-4.74049-2.29485+2.44563
291:58 PM-0.1931986.33897+6.53217

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.