Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 1:28 PM to 1:57 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 1:28 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 21.5375. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:57 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-3.9797.97619.93Sep 23, 1:28 PM ET1:57 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:28 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-3.9797.97619.93Sep 23, 1:28 PM ET1:57 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:28 PM ET21.5375
Projected value at 1:57 PM ET0.630251
Actual value at 1:57 PM ET4.71544
Projected change across the window-20.9072
Actual change across the window-16.8221
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.24×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.24 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (1:48 PM ET), where they sat 0.212233 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:28 PM ET) with a gap of 18.3355. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (1:30 PM ET), a move of -3.5375. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:29 PM1.1568718.4537+17.2968
61:34 PM0.18574510.9956+10.8098
121:40 PM-1.218356.7875+8.00585
181:46 PM-3.83688-5.36691-1.53003
241:52 PM-4.634410.956618+5.59103
291:57 PM0.6302514.71544+4.08519

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.