Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 12:14 PM to 12:43 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 12:14 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -11.1169. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:43 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-26.79-8.4849.824Sep 23, 12:14 PM ET12:43 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:14 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-26.79-8.4849.824Sep 23, 12:14 PM ET12:43 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:14 PM ET-11.1169
Projected value at 12:43 PM ET0.0768897
Actual value at 12:43 PM ET-29.25
Projected change across the window+11.1938
Actual change across the window-18.1331
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.62×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.62 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (12:19 PM ET), where they sat 0.237893 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (12:43 PM ET) with a gap of 29.3269. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (12:42 PM ET), a move of -9.19779. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:15 PM-2.81051-8.83603-6.02552
612:20 PM1.780291.39412-0.386174
1212:26 PM1.971949.525+7.55306
1812:32 PM1.840738.03824+6.19751
2412:38 PM0.3472334.39412+4.04688
2912:43 PM0.0768897-29.25-29.3269

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.