Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 11:42 AM to 12:11 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 11:42 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -42.1846. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:11 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-41.94-22.47-3.001Sep 23, 11:42 AM ET12:11 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:42 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-41.94-22.47-3.001Sep 23, 11:42 AM ET12:11 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:42 AM ET-42.1846
Projected value at 12:11 PM ET-0.386532
Actual value at 12:11 PM ET-15.1809
Projected change across the window+41.798
Actual change across the window+27.0037
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.55×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.55 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (12:05 PM ET), where they sat 5.24286 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (11:57 AM ET) with a gap of 29.6226. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (12:02 PM ET), a move of +6.57941. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:43 AM-21.39-43.086-21.696
611:48 AM-20.3101-42.0118-21.7017
1211:54 AM-16.0637-39.4331-23.3694
1812:00 PM-6.85782-31.6184-24.7606
2412:06 PM-2.47344-7.91838-5.44494
2912:11 PM-0.386532-15.1809-14.7944

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.