Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 11:41 AM to 12:10 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 11:41 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -43.086. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:10 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-41.94-22.46-2.988Sep 23, 11:41 AM ET12:10 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:41 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-41.94-22.46-2.988Sep 23, 11:41 AM ET12:10 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:41 AM ET-43.086
Projected value at 12:10 PM ET-0.372125
Actual value at 12:10 PM ET-15.8507
Projected change across the window+42.7139
Actual change across the window+27.2353
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.57×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.57 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (12:03 PM ET), where they sat 5.8077 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (11:56 AM ET) with a gap of 29.6176. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (12:00 PM ET), a move of +6.57941. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:42 AM-18.6349-43.6449-25.01
611:47 AM-15.9842-41.3529-25.3687
1211:53 AM-13.2519-38.5853-25.3334
1811:59 AM-5.60362-25.6551-20.0515
2412:05 PM-2.37866-9.56029-7.18163
2912:10 PM-0.372125-15.8507-15.4786

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.